Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article Mets vs. Braves prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [7/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves predictions for MLB Friday.
The Atlanta Braves will face the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Truist Park on Friday, beginning at 7:15 PM ET.
The Braves will have Grant Holmes (4-4, 3.96 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Christian Scott (2-0, 3.20 ERA) for the Mets.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 51.4% win probability over the Braves.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's Mets vs. Braves matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Braves prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Braves, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Mets a 51.4% chance of beating the Braves.
According to our model, the 9-run over/under has a 56.1% chance of going over,.
Mets vs. Braves odds [7/3/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -101 | -108 |
| Total | o9 (-105) | u9 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Braves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mets | -101 |
| Total | Over 9 | -105 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Braves game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB action between the Braves and Mets at Truist Park is scheduled to commence at 7:15 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Time: 7:15 PM ET/4:15PM PT
- Venue: Truist Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 51.4% win probability, will likely beat the Braves in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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