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Read Article Mets vs. White Sox prediction: Why White Sox are favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [8/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox predictions for MLB Saturday.
The Chicago White Sox will square off with the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Rate Field on Saturday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.
The White Sox will send Luis Castillo (4-9, 4.99 ERA) to the mound, while the Mets have opted for Christian Scott (4-3, 3.51 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the White Sox a slight edge with a 51.1% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers a complete Mets vs. White Sox prediction, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. White Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB game between the Mets and White Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the White Sox a 51.1% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 64.9% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 54.7% chance of going over.
Mets vs. White Sox odds [8/22/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Mets +1.5 (-205) / White Sox -1.5 (+170)
- Moneyline: Mets +102, White Sox +100
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. White Sox picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: White Sox -1.5 @ +170 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: White Sox @ +100 via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ -102 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. White Sox game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's MLB matchup between the White Sox and Mets at Rate Field is scheduled to commence at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox
- Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Rate Field
Conclusion
We predict the White Sox, with a 51.1% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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