Sep 7, 2026
Cubs vs. Brewers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/7/2026]
Read Article Mets vs. Marlins prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 52.0% win probability for the Mets at loanDepot park.
The Miami Marlins and New York Mets are scheduled to meet in MLB action at loanDepot park on Monday, starting at 1:10 PM ET.
Eury Pérez (7-10, 3.72 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Marlins, while the Mets have opted for Jonah Tong (1-1, 3.60 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 52.0% win probability over the Marlins.
This article offers a complete Mets vs. Marlins prediction, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Marlins prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB game between the Mets and Marlins, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mets a 52.0% chance of beating the Marlins.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 67.3% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 51.1% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Mets +1.5 (-200) / Marlins -1.5 (+170)
- Moneyline: Mets +113, Marlins -112
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+117/-122)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -200 via BetMGM
- Moneyline: Mets @ 47¢ via Polymarket
- Total: Over 8.5 @ 46¢ via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Monday's MLB action between the Marlins and Mets at loanDepot park is scheduled to start at 1:10 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
- Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
- Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
- Venue: loanDepot park
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 52.0% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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