Mets vs. Brewers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [7/22/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers predictions for MLB Wednesday.

New York Mets-Milwaukee Brewers Predictions and Game Preview.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB prediction for Wednesday, July 22, 2026.

The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets will lock horns in MLB action at American Family Field on Wednesday, starting at 2:10 PM ET.

Logan Henderson (3-1, 2.97 ERA) will get the ball for the Brewers, up against Christian Scott (3-1, 2.87 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 53.9% win probability over the Mets.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's Mets vs. Brewers matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mets vs. Brewers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB game between the Mets and Brewers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Brewers a 53.9% chance of beating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 64.4% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 56.0% chance of going over,.

 

Mets vs. Brewers odds [7/22/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Brewers
Run Line +1.5 (-160) -1.5 (+155)
Moneyline +133 -135
Total o7.5 (-113) u7.5 (+108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Brewers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Mets +1.5 -160
Moneyline Mets +133
Total Over 7.5 -113

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Mets vs. Brewers game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's MLB action between the Brewers and Mets at American Family Field is scheduled to start at 2:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Brewers, with a 53.9% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Wednesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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