Aug 31, 2026
Padres vs. Reds prediction: Why San Diego is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [8/31/2026]
Read Article Mets vs. Rays prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [8/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays predictions for MLB Monday.
The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Mets will meet in MLB action at Tropicana Field on Monday, starting at 6:40 PM ET.
Ian Seymour (9-5, 4.21 ERA) will start on the mound for the Rays, up against Robert Stock (0-3, 7.40 ERA) for the Mets.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Rays as the most likely winner in this Mets vs. Rays prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Rays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Mets and Rays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Rays a 56.5% chance of beating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 61.5% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 50.8% chance of staying under.
Mets vs. Rays odds [8/31/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Mets +1.5 (-135) / Rays -1.5 (+133)
- Moneyline: Mets +163, Rays -160
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Rays picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -135 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Mets @ +163 via Polymarket
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +117 via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Rays game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB game between the Rays and Mets at Tropicana Field is scheduled to commence at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: Tropicana Field
Conclusion
We predict the Rays, with a 56.5% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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