Sep 2, 2026
Tigers vs. Twins prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [9/2/2026]
Read Article Mets vs. Rays prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [9/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 58.2% win probability for the Rays at Tropicana Field.
The Tampa Bay Rays will square off with the New York Mets in MLB action at Tropicana Field on Wednesday, starting at 6:40 PM ET.
The Rays will send Griffin Jax (6-9, 3.63 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Justin Hagenman (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for the Mets.
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Rays as the most likely winner in this Mets vs. Rays prediction.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Rays prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Rays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Rays a 58.2% chance of beating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 58.8% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 50.5% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Mets +1.5 (-127) / Rays -1.5 (+138)
- Moneyline: Mets +168, Rays -150
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+115/-117)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets +1.5 @ 56¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Mets @ +168 via Caesars
- Total: Over 8.5 @ 47¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Wednesday's MLB game between the Rays and Mets at Tropicana Field is scheduled to commence at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Wednesday, September 2, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: Tropicana Field
Conclusion
We predict the Rays, with a 58.2% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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