Aug 19, 2026
Blue Jays vs. Rays prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [8/19/2026]
Read Article Yankees vs. Orioles prediction: Yankees favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [8/19/2026]
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Baltimore Orioles will face the New York Yankees, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday, commencing at 6:35 PM ET.
The Orioles will start Chris Bassitt (4-4, 5.11 ERA), while the Yankees have opted for Will Warren (8-6, 4.42 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 53.6% win probability over the Orioles.
This article offers a complete Yankees vs. Orioles prediction, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Orioles prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB game between the Yankees and Orioles, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 53.6% chance of beating the Orioles.
According to our model, the Orioles (+1.5) have a 58.4% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 57.1% chance of going over,.
Yankees vs. Orioles odds [8/19/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Yankees -1.5 (+138) / Orioles +1.5 (-144)
- Moneyline: Yankees -115, Orioles +113
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Orioles picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Yankees -1.5 @ +138 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Yankees @ -115 via Novig
- Total: Over 9 @ -109 via BetRivers
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Orioles game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB game between the Orioles and Yankees at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to begin at 6:35 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
- Time: 6:35 PM ET/3:35PM PT
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 53.6% win probability, will likely beat the Orioles in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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