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Read Article Yankees vs. Orioles prediction: Yankees favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [8/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles predictions for MLB Thursday.
MLB action continues on Thursday at 6:35 PM ET as the New York Yankees lock horns with the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Kyle Bradish (7-11, 3.65 ERA) will start for the Orioles, pitting him against Gerrit Cole (6-6, 3.22 ERA) for the Yankees.
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 51.1% win probability over the Orioles.
This article offers a complete Yankees vs. Orioles prediction, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Orioles prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Orioles, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 51.1% chance of defeating the Orioles.
According to our model, the Orioles (+1.5) have a 60.9% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 56.8% chance of going over,.
Yankees vs. Orioles odds [8/20/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Yankees -1.5 (+160) / Orioles +1.5 (-163)
- Moneyline: Yankees -107, Orioles +104
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Orioles picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Yankees -1.5 @ +160 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Orioles @ +104 via Polymarket
- Total: Over 7.5 @ +113 via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Orioles game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB game between the Orioles and Yankees at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to commence at 6:35 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Thursday, August 20, 2026
- Time: 6:35 PM ET/3:35PM PT
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 51.1% win probability, will likely beat the Orioles in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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