Yankees vs. Phillies prediction: Why Yankees are favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [7/25/2026]
Get New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies predictions for MLB Saturday.
MLB action continues on Saturday at 6:05 PM ET as the New York Yankees take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Tim Mayza (2-3, 4.00 ERA) will get the ball for the Phillies, up against Ryan Weathers (3-7, 4.40 ERA) for the Yankees.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 51.8% win probability over the Phillies.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's Yankees vs. Phillies matchup, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Phillies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 51.8% chance of defeating the Phillies.
According to our model, the Phillies (+1.5) have a 59.4% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 53.0% chance of staying under,.
Yankees vs. Phillies odds [7/25/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+138) | +1.5 (-144) |
| Moneyline | -115 | +117 |
| Total | o9.5 (+122) | u9.5 (-127) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Phillies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Phillies +1.5 | -144 |
| Moneyline | Phillies | +117 |
| Total | Over 9.5 | +122 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Phillies to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Phillies game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's MLB action between the Phillies and Yankees at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 6:05 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
- Time: 6:05 PM ET/3:05PM PT
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 51.8% win probability, will likely beat the Phillies in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
