Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/16/2026]
Get New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Toronto Blue Jays will square off with the New York Yankees, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Rogers Centre on Sunday, commencing at 1:37 PM ET.
Dylan Cease (7-5, 2.40 ERA) will be on the bump for the Blue Jays, while the Yankees have opted for Ryan Weathers (5-7, 3.70 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Blue Jays a slight edge with a 54.0% win probability over the Yankees.
This article offers a complete Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Dylan Cease's pitching projections.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Blue Jays a 54.0% chance of defeating the Yankees.
According to our model, the Yankees (+1.5) have a 63.9% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 54.3% chance of going over,.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds [8/16/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Yankees +1.5 (-194) / Blue Jays -1.5 (+194)
- Moneyline: Yankees +117, Blue Jays -117
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Blue Jays -1.5 @ +194 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Blue Jays @ -117 via Polymarket
- Total: Over 7.5 @ +117 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Yankees at Rogers Centre is scheduled to commence at 1:37 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Time: 1:37 PM ET/10:37AM PT
- Venue: Rogers Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Blue Jays, with a 54.0% win probability, will likely beat the Yankees in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
