Sep 13, 2026
Orioles vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/13/2026]
Read Article Phillies vs. Braves prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 54.6% win probability for the Braves at Truist Park.
MLB action continues on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET as the Philadelphia Phillies take on the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park.
The Braves will start Grant Holmes (9-5, 3.46 ERA), while the Phillies have opted for Andrew Painter (3-9, 5.71 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Braves a slight edge with a 54.6% win probability over the Phillies.
This article offers a complete Phillies vs. Braves prediction, including best bets and picks.
Phillies vs. Braves prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Phillies and Braves, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Braves a 54.6% chance of beating the Phillies. According to our model, the Phillies (+1.5) have a 61.7% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 55.3% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Phillies +1.5 (-170) / Braves -1.5 (+167)
- Moneyline: Phillies +120, Braves -122
- Total: Over/Under 9 (+100/-114)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Braves -1.5 @ 37¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Phillies @ 45¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 9 @ +100 via BetMGM
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Sunday's MLB action between the Braves and Phillies at Truist Park is scheduled to begin at 1:35 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
- Time: 1:35 PM ET/10:35AM PT
- Venue: Truist Park
Conclusion
We predict the Braves, with a 54.6% win probability, will likely beat the Phillies in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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