Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article Phillies vs. Reds prediction: Why Cincinnati is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [7/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies will lock horns in MLB action at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.
Chase Burns (10-1, 2.40 ERA) will start on the mound for the Reds, pitting him against Alan Rangel (0-1, 3.38 ERA) for the Phillies.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Reds as the most likely winner of the Phillies vs. Reds game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Phillies vs. Reds prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB game between the Phillies and Reds, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Reds a 57.0% chance of defeating the Phillies.
According to our model, the Phillies (+1.5) have a 59.4% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 57.4% chance of going over,.
Phillies vs. Reds odds [7/8/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Phillies | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-156) | -1.5 (+150) |
| Moneyline | +127 | -127 |
| Total | o8.5 (-117) | u8.5 (+115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Phillies vs. Reds picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Reds -1.5 | novig+150 |
| Moneyline | Reds | polymarket-127 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | novig-117 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Phillies vs. Reds game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB game between the Reds and Phillies at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to commence at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
Conclusion
We predict the Reds, with a 57.0% win probability, will likely beat the Phillies in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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