Jul 22, 2026
Tigers vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [7/22/2026]
Read Article Phillies vs. Tigers prediction: Detroit favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [7/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Detroit Tigers and Philadelphia Phillies will meet in MLB action at Comerica Park on Sunday, starting at 1:40 PM ET.
The Tigers will start Tarik Skubal (5-4, 3.06 ERA), up against Zack Wheeler (9-1, 2.28 ERA) for the Phillies.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Tigers as the most likely winner of the Phillies vs. Tigers game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Phillies vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Phillies and Tigers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Tigers a 55.9% chance of beating the Phillies.
According to our model, the Phillies (+1.5) have a 63.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has a 55.4% chance of going over,.
Phillies vs. Tigers odds [7/12/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Phillies | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-186) | -1.5 (+186) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -122 |
| Total | o7 (-105) | u7 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Phillies vs. Tigers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Tigers -1.5 | +186 |
| Moneyline | Tigers | novig-122 |
| Total | Over 7 | polymarket-105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Phillies vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB action between the Tigers and Phillies at Comerica Park is scheduled to begin at 1:40 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers
- Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
- Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40AM PT
- Venue: Comerica Park
Conclusion
We predict the Tigers, with a 55.9% win probability, will likely beat the Phillies in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
