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Read Article Pirates vs. Rockies prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [6/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies predictions for MLB Sunday.
MLB action continues on Sunday at 3:10 PM ET as the Pittsburgh Pirates take on the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field.
Michael Lorenzen (2-8, 7.13 ERA) will be on the bump for the Rockies, while the Pirates are going with Jared Jones (1-1, 6.23 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Pirates as the most likely winner of the Pirates vs. Rockies game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Pirates vs. Rockies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Rockies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Pirates a 56.8% chance of defeating the Rockies.
According to our model, the Rockies (+1.5) have a 52.7% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 11.5 runs has a 54.3% chance of going over,.
Pirates vs. Rockies odds [6/21/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pirates | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+105) | +1.5 (-120) |
| Moneyline | -144 | +125 |
| Total | o11.5 (-106) | u11.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pirates vs. Rockies picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Pirates -1.5 | +105 |
| Moneyline | Rockies | +125 |
| Total | Over 11.5 | -106 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 11.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pirates vs. Rockies game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB game between the Rockies and Pirates at Coors Field is scheduled to start at 3:10 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies
- Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026
- Time: 3:10 PM ET/12:10PM PT
- Venue: Coors Field
Conclusion
We predict the Pirates, with a 56.8% win probability, will likely beat the Rockies in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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