Pirates vs. Dodgers prediction: Dodgers favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [8/22/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers predictions for MLB Saturday.

Pittsburgh Pirates-Los Angeles Dodgers Predictions and Game Preview.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB prediction for Saturday, August 22, 2026.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates are scheduled to meet in MLB action at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on Saturday, starting at 7:15 PM ET.

Tarik Skubal (7-7, 2.85 ERA) will get the ball for the Dodgers, while the Pirates have opted for Jared Jones (2-5, 4.78 ERA).

Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Pirates vs. Dodgers prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

For more, dive into Tarik Skubal's pitching projections.

Pirates vs. Dodgers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Dodgers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 71.6% chance of defeating the Pirates.

According to our model, the Dodgers (-1.5) have a 54.0% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 54.7% chance of going over.

 

Pirates vs. Dodgers odds [8/22/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Pirates +1.5 (+111) / Dodgers -1.5 (-113)
  • Moneyline: Pirates +250, Dodgers -245

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pirates vs. Dodgers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Dodgers -1.5 @ -113 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Dodgers @ -245 via Polymarket
  • Total: Over 7.5 @ -104 via Novig

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Pirates vs. Dodgers game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's MLB game between the Dodgers and Pirates at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:15 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Dodgers, with a 71.6% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates in Saturday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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