Pirates vs. Dodgers prediction: Dodgers favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/23/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers predictions for MLB Sunday.

Pittsburgh Pirates-Los Angeles Dodgers Predictions and Game Preview.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB prediction for Sunday, August 23, 2026.

MLB action continues on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET as the Pittsburgh Pirates take on the Los Angeles Dodgers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

Blake Snell (1-1, 3.60 ERA) will start for the Dodgers, pitting him against Lake Bachar (1-2, 3.75 ERA) for the Pirates.

Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Pirates vs. Dodgers prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Pirates vs. Dodgers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Pirates and Dodgers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 69.5% chance of defeating the Pirates.

According to our model, the Dodgers (-1.5) have a 52.3% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 54.6% chance of going over.

 

Pirates vs. Dodgers odds [8/23/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Pirates +1.5 (+122) / Dodgers -1.5 (-122)
  • Moneyline: Pirates +260, Dodgers -257

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pirates vs. Dodgers picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Pirates +1.5 @ +122 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Pirates @ +260 via BetRivers
  • Total: Over 8.5 @ +100 via Polymarket

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Pirates vs. Dodgers game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB matchup between the Dodgers and Pirates at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Dodgers, with a 69.5% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates in Sunday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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