Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article Pirates vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [7/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees predictions for MLB Monday.
The New York Yankees will square off with the Pittsburgh Pirates, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Yankee Stadium on Monday, commencing at 7:05 PM ET.
Ryan Weathers (3-7, 4.15 ERA) will start on the mound for the Yankees, while the Pirates have opted for Braxton Ashcraft (9-3, 3.49 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 54.9% win probability over the Pirates.
This article offers further insights into Monday's Pirates vs. Yankees matchup, including best bets and picks.
Pirates vs. Yankees prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Yankees, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 54.9% chance of beating the Pirates.
According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 61.6% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 58.7% chance of going over,.
Pirates vs. Yankees odds [7/20/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pirates | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-220) | -1.5 (+180) |
| Moneyline | +108 | -108 |
| Total | o7.5 (-110) | u7.5 (+111) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pirates vs. Yankees picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Yankees -1.5 | +180 |
| Moneyline | Yankees | -108 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -110 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pirates vs. Yankees game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Pirates at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:05 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees
- Date: Monday, July 20, 2026
- Time: 7:05 PM ET/4:05PM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 54.9% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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