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Read Article Padres vs. Mets prediction: San Diego favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [8/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Diego Padres vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Wednesday.
MLB action continues on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET as the San Diego Padres take on the New York Mets at Citi Field.
The Mets will start Robert Stock (0-2, 6.57 ERA), pitting him against Michael King (8-8, 3.42 ERA) for the Padres.
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Padres a slight edge with a 51.8% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers a complete Padres vs. Mets prediction, including best bets and picks.
Padres vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB game between the Padres and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Padres a 51.8% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 59.8% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 54.0% chance of going over,.
Padres vs. Mets odds [8/19/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Padres -1.5 (+127) / Mets +1.5 (-133)
- Moneyline: Padres -133, Mets +130
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Padres vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -133 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Mets @ +130 via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ -104 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Padres vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Mets and Padres at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 1:10 PM ET.
- Who: San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets
- Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
- Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Padres, with a 51.8% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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