Cardinals vs. Reds prediction: Why Cincinnati is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [8/19/2026]
Get St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds predictions for MLB Wednesday.

MLB action continues on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET as the St. Louis Cardinals take on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park.
Chase Burns (14-2, 2.47 ERA) will start on the mound for the Reds, while the Cardinals are going with Matthew Liberatore (5-10, 5.07 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Reds as the most likely winner in this Cardinals vs. Reds prediction.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Chase Burns' pitching projections.
Cardinals vs. Reds prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Reds a 58.8% chance of beating the Cardinals.
According to our model, the Cardinals (+1.5) have a 59.6% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51.9% chance of going over,.
Cardinals vs. Reds odds [8/19/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Cardinals +1.5 (-156) / Reds -1.5 (+153)
- Moneyline: Cardinals +138, Reds -140
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cardinals vs. Reds picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Reds -1.5 @ +153 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Reds @ -140 via Bet365
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +104 via Novig
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cardinals vs. Reds game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB game between the Reds and Cardinals at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to begin at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
Conclusion
We predict the Reds, with a 58.8% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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