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Read Article Cardinals vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [6/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Thursday.
The New York Mets will take on the St. Louis Cardinals in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 1:10 PM ET.
The Mets will start Christian Scott (2-0, 2.50 ERA), while the Cardinals are going with Hunter Dobbins (1-0, 2.77 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Cardinals vs. Mets game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cardinals vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Cardinals and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Mets a 62.7% chance of defeating the Cardinals.
According to our model, the Cardinals (+1.5) have a 54.9% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 50.7% chance of staying under,.
Cardinals vs. Mets odds [6/11/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cardinals | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-165) | -1.5 (+139) |
| Moneyline | +130 | -148 |
| Total | o9 (-103) | u9 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cardinals vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +139 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -148 |
| Total | Over 9 | -103 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cardinals vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Cardinals at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 1:10 PM ET.
- Who: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets
- Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026
- Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 62.7% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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