Aug 19, 2026
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Read Article Blue Jays vs. Rays prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [8/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Tampa Bay Rays will face the Toronto Blue Jays in MLB action at Tropicana Field on Wednesday, commencing at 6:40 PM ET.
The Rays will have Drew Rasmussen (12-5, 2.78 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Blue Jays have opted for Max Scherzer (1-5, 6.58 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Rays as the most likely winner in this Blue Jays vs. Rays prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Drew Rasmussen's pitching projections.
Blue Jays vs. Rays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Rays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Rays a 61.2% chance of defeating the Blue Jays.
According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 56.4% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 54.8% chance of going over,.
Blue Jays vs. Rays odds [8/19/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Blue Jays +1.5 (-111) / Rays -1.5 (+110)
- Moneyline: Blue Jays +190, Rays -190
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blue Jays vs. Rays picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Blue Jays +1.5 @ -111 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Blue Jays @ +190 via FanDuel
- Total: Over 7.5 @ -104 via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blue Jays to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blue Jays vs. Rays game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Rays and Blue Jays at Tropicana Field is scheduled to commence at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: Tropicana Field
Conclusion
We predict the Rays, with a 61.2% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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