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Read Article Blue Jays vs. Rays prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [8/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Tampa Bay Rays will take on the Toronto Blue Jays in MLB action at Tropicana Field on Thursday, starting at 1:10 PM ET.
The Rays will send Ian Seymour (9-3, 4.11 ERA) to the mound, while the Blue Jays are going with Shane Bieber (4-2, 4.99 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Rays as the most likely winner in this Blue Jays vs. Rays prediction.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Blue Jays vs. Rays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Rays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Rays a 56.5% chance of beating the Blue Jays.
According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 61.7% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 54.7% chance of going over,.
Blue Jays vs. Rays odds [8/20/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Blue Jays +1.5 (-144) / Rays -1.5 (+144)
- Moneyline: Blue Jays +150, Rays -153
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blue Jays vs. Rays picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Blue Jays +1.5 @ -144 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Blue Jays @ +150 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 7.5 @ +117 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blue Jays vs. Rays game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB action between the Rays and Blue Jays at Tropicana Field is scheduled to begin at 1:10 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Thursday, August 20, 2026
- Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
- Venue: Tropicana Field
Conclusion
We predict the Rays, with a 56.5% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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