Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article Nationals vs. Rockies prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [7/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies predictions for MLB Tuesday.
MLB action continues on Tuesday at 8:40 PM ET as the Washington Nationals square off with the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field.
Michael Lorenzen (3-9, 6.22 ERA) will get the ball for the Rockies, while the Nationals are going with Carson Palmquist (0-1, 6.52 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Rockies a slight edge with a 51.2% win probability over the Nationals.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's Nationals vs. Rockies matchup, including best bets and picks.
Nationals vs. Rockies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB game between the Nationals and Rockies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Rockies a 51.2% chance of defeating the Nationals.
According to our model, the Rockies (+1.5) have a 60.8% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 13.5 runs has a 51.1% chance of going over,.
Nationals vs. Rockies odds [7/21/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nationals | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+133) | +1.5 (-138) |
| Moneyline | -108 | +104 |
| Total | o13.5 (+111) | u13.5 (-113) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nationals vs. Rockies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Rockies +1.5 | -138 |
| Moneyline | Rockies | +104 |
| Total | Over 13.5 | +111 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 13.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Nationals vs. Rockies game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB game between the Rockies and Nationals at Coors Field is scheduled to commence at 8:40 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies
- Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
- Time: 8:40 PM ET/5:40PM PT
- Venue: Coors Field
Conclusion
We predict the Rockies, with a 51.2% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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