Mets vs. Rays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Rays MLB game on Wednesday, September 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mets
Justin Hagenman 0-0, 0.00 ERA
10
2 Out
4
Tropicana Field
Rays
Griffin Jax 6-9, 3.63 ERA
Tropicana Field
Polymarket Offer.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
3 0 3 0 0 0 3 1 10 13 1
Rays
0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    >99%
  • Rays
    <1%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
C. Simpson
RHP D. Duarte
Last At Bat
Outs
Chandler Simpson flies out to left field to Nick Morabito.
(RHP) Daniel Duarte
15 Pitches
W-LIPHRERBBKERA
Season 1-0 24.2 14 6 6 6 112 2.189
Today 1.0 0 0 0 0 1
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS5010001.2000.400
2 J. Soto DH5121101.4001.400
3 B. Bichette 3B4220010.5001.350
4 C. Benge RF4220010.5001.100
5 J. Young 1B5211002.2000.400
6 M. Semien 2B2211010.5001.750
7 A. Ewing CF4110001.2500.500
8 N. Morabito LF10130001.0003.000
9 L. Torrens C4000001.0000.000
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH3010010.3330.833
2 J. Aranda 1B4011001.2500.500
3 J. Caminero 3B4000002.0000.000
4 L. Hicks C4000002.0000.000
5 C. Simpson LF4120000.5001.000
6 V. Mesa RF3000000.0000.000
7 J. DeLuca CF1000000.0000.000
8 R. Palacios 2B3112100.3331.666
9 T. Walls SS2110011.5001.667

Mets vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Wednesday, September 2, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (+1.5, -127), Rays (-1.5, +138)
  • Moneyline: Mets +168, Rays -150
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+115/-117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 41.8%
  • Rays: 58.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 41.8%, while the Rays have a win probability of 58.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.