Austin FC vs. San Diego FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/26/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Austin FC vs San Diego FC predictions for MLS Saturday.

Austin FC takes on San Diego FC in MLS action.
Austin FC vs. San Diego FC MLS prediction for Saturday, September 26, 2026.

MLS action continues on Saturday at 8:30 PM ET as San Diego FC takes on Austin at Q2 Stadium.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Austin as the most likely winner in this Austin vs. San Diego FC prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Austin FC vs. San Diego FC prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Austin and San Diego FC, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 39.2% chance of Austin winning, a 36.1% chance for San Diego FC, and a 24.8% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55.4% chance of going over., according to our model.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC +160, Austin +178
  • Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+150)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Austin @ +178 via Polymarket
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +150 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

  • Austin 1-1 San Diego FC (11.6% probability)
  • Austin 2-1 San Diego FC (8.6%)
  • Austin 1-0 San Diego FC (8.2%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS game between Austin and San Diego FC in MLS at Q2 Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.

  • Who: Austin FC vs. San Diego FC
  • Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
  • Venue: Q2 Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Austin has a 39.2% win probability on Saturday, San Diego FC has a 36.1% win probability, and there is a 24.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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