FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/26/2026]

Dallas will face LAFC in MLS action at Toyota Stadium on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Dallas as the most likely winner in this Dallas vs. LAFC prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles FC prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Dallas and LAFC, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 45.9% chance of Dallas winning, a 29.3% chance for LAFC, and a 24.7% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53.5% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: LAFC +245, Dallas +129
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-104/+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Dallas @ +129 via Kalshi
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -104 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Dallas 1-1 LAFC (11.7% probability)
• Dallas 1-0 LAFC (9.5%)
• Dallas 2-1 LAFC (9.3%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS game between Dallas and LAFC in MLS at Toyota Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles FC
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Toyota Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Dallas has a 45.9% win probability on Saturday, LAFC has a 29.3% win probability, and there is a 24.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.