Chicago Fire vs. Columbus Crew prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [11/7/2026]

Chicago will face Columbus in the MLS Cup first round at Soldier Field on Saturday, beginning at 4:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Chicago as the most likely winner in this Chicago vs. Columbus prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Chicago Fire vs. Columbus Crew prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Chicago and Columbus, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 52.2% chance of Chicago winning, a 26.2% chance for Columbus, and a 21.5% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 66.2% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Columbus +376, Chicago -113
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-223/+205)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Columbus @ +376 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +205 via DraftKings

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Columbus to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Chicago win being the most probable:

• Chicago 2-1 Columbus (9.4% probability)
• Chicago 1-1 Columbus (9.3%)
• Chicago 2-0 Columbus (6.8%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS matchup between Chicago and Columbus in MLS at Soldier Field is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Fire vs. Columbus Crew
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00 PM PT
• Venue: Soldier Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Chicago has a 52.2% win probability on Saturday, Columbus has a 26.2% win probability, and there is a 21.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.