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Read Article Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers prediction, odds, MLS picks [8/16/2026]
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Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers predictions for MLS Sunday.
Chicago will square off with Portland in MLS action at Soldier Field on Sunday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Chicago as the most likely winner in this Chicago vs. Portland prediction.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLS matchup between Chicago and Portland, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 58.3% chance of Chicago winning, a 21.9% chance for Portland, and a 19.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 70.3% chance of going over, according to our model.
Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Portland +430, Chicago -182
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Portland @ +430 via FanDuel
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +240 via Bet365
According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Portland to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Chicago win being the most probable:
- Chicago 2-1 Portland (9.3% probability)
- Chicago 1-1 Portland (8.2%)
- Chicago 3-1 Portland (7.1%)
Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between Chicago and Portland in MLS at Soldier Field is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers
- Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Chicago has a 58.3% win probability on Sunday, Portland has a 21.9% win probability, and there is a 19.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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