Los Angeles FC vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/9/2026]

LAFC will square off with NY Red Bulls in MLS action at BMO Stadium on Wednesday, starting at 10:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects LAFC as the most likely winner in this LAFC vs. NY Red Bulls prediction.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Los Angeles FC vs. NY Red Bulls prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS matchup between LAFC and NY Red Bulls, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 69.8% chance of LAFC winning, a 13.1% chance for NY Red Bulls, and a 17.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 66.0% chance of going over, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +614, LAFC -233
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-257/+250)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: LAFC @ -233 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +250 via DraftKings

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 LAFC win being the most probable:

• LAFC 2-0 NY Red Bulls (9.9% probability)
• LAFC 2-1 NY Red Bulls (9.5%)
• LAFC 3-0 NY Red Bulls (8.1%)

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS matchup between LAFC and NY Red Bulls in MLS at BMO Stadium is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles FC vs. NY Red Bulls
• Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
• Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
• Venue: BMO Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, LAFC has a 69.8% win probability on Wednesday, NY Red Bulls have a 13.1% win probability, and there is a 17.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.