New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [11/1/2026]

New England will take on Miami in the MLS Cup first round at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Miami as the most likely winner in this New England vs. Miami prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLS game between New England and Miami, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 38.4% chance of New England winning, a 39.7% chance for Miami, and a 21.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 70.1% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Miami +122, New England +212
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-233/+223)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: New England @ +212 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -233 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is New England to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• New England 1-1 Miami (8.8% probability)
• New England 1-2 Miami (8%)
• New England 2-1 Miami (7.9%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's MLS matchup between New England and Miami in MLS at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami
• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, New England has a 38.4% win probability on Sunday, Miami has a 39.7% win probability, and there is a 21.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.