New York City vs. New England Revolution prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/9/2026]

MLS action continues on Wednesday at 8:00 PM ET as New England squares off with NY City at Yankee Stadium.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects NY City as the most likely winner in this NY City vs. New England prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

New York City vs. New England Revolution prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS matchup between NY City and New England, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 43.6% chance of NY City winning, a 31.6% chance for New England, and a 24.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54.5% chance of going over, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: New England +170, NY City +170
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-144/+133)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: NY City @ +170 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +133 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is NY City to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• NY City 1-1 New England (11.6% probability)
• NY City 2-1 New England (9.1%)
• NY City 1-0 New England (8.9%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS matchup between NY City and New England in MLS at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: New York City vs. New England Revolution
• Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Yankee Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, NY City has a 43.6% win probability on Wednesday, New England has a 31.6% win probability, and there is a 24.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.