NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire prediction, odds, MLS picks [8/22/2026]

MLS action continues on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET as Chicago locks horns with NY Red Bulls at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects NY Red Bulls as the most likely winner in this NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between NY Red Bulls and Chicago, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 43.7% chance of NY Red Bulls winning, a 34.2% chance for Chicago, and a 22.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 68.5% chance of going over, according to our model.

NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Chicago +188, NY Red Bulls +140

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: NY Red Bulls @ +140 via Fanatics
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +240 via Bet365

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire: Correct score predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• NY Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago (9.1% probability)
• NY Red Bulls 2-1 Chicago (8.5%)
• NY Red Bulls 1-2 Chicago (7.5%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between NY Red Bulls and Chicago in MLS at Sports Illustrated Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire
• Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, NY Red Bulls have a 43.7% win probability on Saturday, Chicago has a 34.2% win probability, and there is a 22.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.