NY Red Bulls vs. San Diego FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/10/2026]

The NY Red Bulls will take on San Diego FC in MLS action at Sports Illustrated Stadium on Saturday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects NY Red Bulls as the most likely winner in this NY Red Bulls vs. San Diego FC prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

NY Red Bulls vs. San Diego FC prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between NY Red Bulls and San Diego FC, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 39.4% chance of NY Red Bulls winning, a 37.9% chance for San Diego FC, and a 22.6% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 66.2% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: San Diego FC +170, NY Red Bulls +150
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-257/+245)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: San Diego FC @ +170 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +245 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• NY Red Bulls 1-1 San Diego FC (9.6% probability)
• NY Red Bulls 2-1 San Diego FC (8.3%)
• NY Red Bulls 1-2 San Diego FC (8.1%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS action between NY Red Bulls and San Diego FC in MLS at Sports Illustrated Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: NY Red Bulls vs. San Diego FC
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, NY Red Bulls have a 39.4% win probability on Saturday, San Diego FC has a 37.9% win probability, and there is a 22.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.