NY Red Bulls vs. St Louis City prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/26/2026]

NY Red Bulls and St Louis City will meet in MLS action at Sports Illustrated Stadium on Saturday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects St Louis City as the most likely winner in this NY Red Bulls vs. St Louis City prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

NY Red Bulls vs. St Louis City prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between NY Red Bulls and St Louis City, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 29.6% chance of NY Red Bulls winning, a 47.9% chance for St Louis City, and a 22.5% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 64.1% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: St Louis City -104, NY Red Bulls +270
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-223/+212)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: NY Red Bulls @ +270 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +212 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• NY Red Bulls 1-1 St Louis City (9.9% probability)
• NY Red Bulls 1-2 St Louis City (9.2%)
• NY Red Bulls 2-1 St Louis City (7.1%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS matchup between NY Red Bulls and St Louis City in MLS at Sports Illustrated Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: NY Red Bulls vs. St Louis City
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, NY Red Bulls have a 29.6% win probability on Saturday, St Louis City has a 47.9% win probability, and there is a 22.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.