NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/17/2026]

MLS action continues on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET as Toronto takes on NY Red Bulls at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects NY Red Bulls as the most likely winner in this NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto FC prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between NY Red Bulls and Toronto, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 54.1% chance of NY Red Bulls winning, a 24.8% chance for Toronto, and a 21.1% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 66.9% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Toronto +355, NY Red Bulls -141
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-257/+250)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Toronto @ +355 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +250 via DraftKings

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 NY Red Bulls win being the most probable:

• NY Red Bulls 2-1 Toronto (9.4% probability)
• NY Red Bulls 1-1 Toronto (9.1%)
• NY Red Bulls 2-0 Toronto (6.9%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS game between NY Red Bulls and Toronto in MLS at Sports Illustrated Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto FC
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, NY Red Bulls have a 54.1% win probability on Saturday, Toronto has a 24.8% win probability, and there is a 21.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.