Seattle Sounders vs. CF Montreal prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/17/2026]

MLS action continues on Saturday at 10:30 PM ET as Montreal squares off with Seattle at Lumen Field.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Seattle as the most likely winner in this Seattle vs. Montreal prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Seattle Sounders vs. CF Montreal prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Seattle and Montreal, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 68.6% chance of Seattle winning, a 13.1% chance for Montreal, and an 18.3% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 60.6% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Montreal +733, Seattle -245
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-213/+203)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Montreal @ +733 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +203 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Seattle win being the most probable:

• Seattle 2-0 Montreal (11.1% probability)
• Seattle 1-0 Montreal (9.8%)
• Seattle 2-1 Montreal (9.7%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS action between Seattle and Montreal in MLS at Lumen Field is scheduled to begin at 10:30 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Sounders vs. CF Montreal
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
• Venue: Lumen Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Seattle has a 68.6% win probability on Saturday, Montreal has a 13.1% win probability, and there is an 18.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.