Orlando City vs. New England Revolution prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [11/7/2026]

Orlando and New England will lock horns in the MLS Cup first round on Saturday, starting at 4:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Orlando as the most likely winner in this Orlando vs. New England prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Orlando City vs. New England Revolution prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between Orlando and New England, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 50.4% chance of Orlando winning, a 29.1% chance for New England, and a 20.5% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 74.2% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: New England +233, Orlando +104
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-350/+326)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Orlando @ +104 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +326 via Novig

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Orlando win being the most probable:

• Orlando 2-1 New England (8.5% probability)
• Orlando 1-1 New England (7.6%)
• Orlando 2-2 New England (7%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS matchup between Orlando and New England is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: Orlando City vs. New England Revolution
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00 PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Orlando has a 50.4% win probability on Saturday, New England has a 29.1% win probability, and there is a 20.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.