Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montreal prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/5/2026]

Philadelphia will face Montreal in MLS action at Subaru Park on Saturday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Philadelphia as the most likely winner in this Philadelphia vs. Montreal prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montreal prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Philadelphia and Montreal, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 69.7% chance of Philadelphia winning, a 13.2% chance for Montreal, and a 17.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 66.8% chance of going over, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Montreal +574, Philadelphia -213
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-203/+194)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Philadelphia @ -213 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -203 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Philadelphia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Philadelphia win being the most probable:

• Philadelphia 2-0 Montreal (9.7% probability)
• Philadelphia 2-1 Montreal (9.5%)
• Philadelphia 1-0 Montreal (7.9%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS game between Philadelphia and Montreal in MLS at Subaru Park is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montreal
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Subaru Park

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Philadelphia has a 69.7% win probability on Saturday, Montreal has a 13.2% win probability, and there is a 17.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.