Seattle Sounders vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/5/2026]

MLS action continues on Saturday at 8:30 PM ET as NY Red Bulls squares off with Seattle at Lumen Field.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Seattle as the most likely winner in this Seattle vs. NY Red Bulls prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Seattle Sounders vs. NY Red Bulls prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Seattle and NY Red Bulls, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 53.0% chance of Seattle winning, a 25.1% chance for NY Red Bulls, and a 21.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 63.6% chance of going over, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +285, Seattle -108
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-233/+225)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Seattle @ -108 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +225 via FanDuel

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Seattle 1-1 NY Red Bulls (9.7% probability)
• Seattle 2-1 NY Red Bulls (9.6%)
• Seattle 1-0 NY Red Bulls (7.5%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS matchup between Seattle and NY Red Bulls in MLS at Lumen Field is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Sounders vs. NY Red Bulls
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Lumen Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Seattle has a 53.0% win probability on Saturday, NY Red Bulls have a 25.1% win probability, and there is a 21.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.