Toronto FC vs. CF Montreal prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/10/2026]

Toronto will face Montreal in MLS action at BMO Field on Saturday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Toronto as the most likely winner in this Toronto vs. Montreal prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Toronto FC vs. CF Montreal prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Toronto and Montreal, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 55.0% chance of Toronto winning, a 22.9% chance for Montreal, and a 22.1% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59.9% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Montreal +270, Toronto +104
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-156/+150)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Toronto @ +104 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +150 via BetRivers

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Toronto to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Toronto 1-1 Montreal (10.2% probability)
• Toronto 2-1 Montreal (9.8%)
• Toronto 1-0 Montreal (8.7%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS action between Toronto and Montreal in MLS at BMO Field is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Toronto FC vs. CF Montreal
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: BMO Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toronto has a 55.0% win probability on Saturday, Montreal has a 22.9% win probability, and there is a 22.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.