Toronto FC vs. Nashville SC prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/9/2026]

MLS action continues on Wednesday at 7:30 PM ET as Nashville squares off with Toronto at BMO Field.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Nashville as the most likely winner in this Toronto vs. Nashville prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Toronto FC vs. Nashville SC prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Toronto and Nashville, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 27.2% chance of Toronto winning, a 48.2% chance for Nashville, and a 24.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52.8% chance of going over, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Nashville +113, Toronto +257
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-122/+120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Nashville @ +113 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +120 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Toronto 1-1 Nashville (11.6% probability)
• Toronto 0-1 Nashville (10%)
• Toronto 1-2 Nashville (9.5%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS matchup between Toronto and Nashville in MLS at BMO Field is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Toronto FC vs. Nashville SC
• Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: BMO Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toronto has a 27.2% win probability on Wednesday, Nashville has a 48.2% win probability, and there is a 24.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.