Montreal vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Montreal vs. Toronto MLS match on October 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Montreal
1
2
BMO Field
Toronto
BMO Field
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
L. Morgan (90')
Soccer ball icon
D. Mihailovic (90')
Soccer ball icon
D. Rios (51')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Toronto
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Montreal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by L. Morgan, assisted by N. Dorsch
    1-1
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Mihailovic, assisted by T. Corbeanu
    1-2
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Laryea (Toronto FC) cautioned
  4. 87'
    Yellow Card
    L. Petrasso (CF Montreal) cautioned
  5. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: W. Carmona replaces D. Rios
  6. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: E. Morales replaces B. Craig
  7. 84'
    Yellow Card
    B. Craig (CF Montreal) cautioned
  8. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Morgan replaces A. Coello
  9. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: F. Herbers replaces A. Sanchez
  10. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: S. Piette replaces V. Loturi
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Mihailovic replaces J. Osorio
  12. 55'
    Yellow Card
    B. Vera (CF Montreal) cautioned
  13. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by D. Rios
    1-0
  14. 23'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: W. Yarbrough replaces L. Gavran

Montreal vs. Toronto: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal 27¢, Toronto 49¢, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (61¢/+150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Montreal: 22.9%
  • Toronto: 55.0%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Montreal 1-1 Toronto (10.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Montreal vs. Toronto? Prediction & correct score

Toronto is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.0%.

The most likely correct score is Montreal 1-1 Toronto.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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