New England vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the New England vs. Cincinnati MLS match on October 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
New England
3
2
TQL Stadium
Cincinnati
TQL Stadium
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
T. Barlow (13')
Soccer ball icon
K. Denkey (67')
Soccer ball icon
D. Turgeman (21')
Soccer ball icon
J. Wynder (43')
Soccer ball icon
D. Turgeman (51')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • New England
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: T. Beason replaces P. Miller
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: C. Baker replaces D. Turgeman
  3. 84'
    Yellow Card
    Evander (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces K. Smith
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: J. Yueill replaces I. Feingold
  6. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: L. Langoni replaces D. Gazdag
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: Evander replaces T. Malacia
  8. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey, assisted by T. Malacia
    3-2
  9. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New England Revolution by D. Turgeman, assisted by P. Miller
    3-1
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Gidi replaces J. Malatini
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: P. Bucha replaces O. Nwobodo
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Mboma replaces T. Barlow
  13. 44'
    Yellow Card
    T. Barlow (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  14. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New England Revolution by J. Wynder, assisted by C. Gil
    2-1
  15. 31'
    Yellow Card
    T. Malacia (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  16. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New England Revolution by D. Turgeman, assisted by P. Miller
    1-1
  17. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by T. Barlow, assisted by T. Malacia
    0-1
  18. 4'
    Yellow Card
    I. Feingold (New England Revolution) cautioned

New England vs. Cincinnati: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +230, Cincinnati 44¢, draw 24¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (72¢/29¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • New England: 30.0%
  • Cincinnati: 49.7%
  • Draw: 20.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: New England 1-2 Cincinnati (8.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win New England vs. Cincinnati? Prediction & correct score

Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.7%.

The most likely correct score is New England 1-2 Cincinnati.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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