St Louis City vs. Minnesota Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. Minnesota MLS match on October 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
St Louis City
2
3
Allianz Field
Minnesota
Allianz Field
MinnesotaMIN
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
A. Jackson (49')
Soccer ball icon
K. Yeboah (68')
Soccer ball icon
M. Caldeira (86')
Soccer ball icon
Rafael Navarro (4')
Soccer ball icon
S. Jeong (10')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Minnesota
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • St Louis City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Diaz (Minnesota United) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: T. Chancalay replaces K. Yeboah
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Boxall replaces C. Valerius
  4. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by M. Caldeira, assisted by J. Pereyra
    2-3
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces M. Joyner
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Pereyra replaces A. Jackson
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Caldeira replaces M. Gonzalez
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton replaces S. Jeong
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: D. Downs replaces S. Becher
  10. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by K. Yeboah, assisted by M. Gonzalez
    2-2
  11. 51'
    Yellow Card
    S. Jeong (St. Louis City) cautioned
  12. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Jackson, assisted by K. Yeboah
    2-1
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: Rafael Santos replaces T. Totland
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: D. Edelman replaces D. Polvara
  15. 26'
    Yellow Card
    M. Perez (St. Louis City) cautioned
  16. 24'
    Yellow Card
    A. Jackson (Minnesota United) cautioned
  17. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by S. Jeong, assisted by Rafael Navarro
    2-0
  18. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by Rafael Navarro
    1-0

St Louis City vs. Minnesota: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Minnesota
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Allianz Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City 35¢, Minnesota 40¢, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (63¢/+170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 39.1%
  • Minnesota: 38.7%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-1 Minnesota (9.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win St Louis City vs. Minnesota? Prediction & correct score

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.1%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-1 Minnesota.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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