Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls MLS match on October 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Toronto
2
0
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
J. Che (o.g.) (3')
Soccer ball icon
D. Salloi (82')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY Red Bulls
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Toronto
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Yellow Card
    D. Etienne (Toronto FC) cautioned
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: R. Chukwu replaces J. Sargent
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Coello replaces L. Morgan
  4. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Salloi, assisted by J. Osorio
    2-0
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: Pedro Castro replaces J. Che
  6. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces T. Corbeanu
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Salloi replaces D. Mihailovic
  8. 67'
    Yellow Card
    L. Morgan (Toronto FC) cautioned
  9. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Ruvalcaba replaces C. Harper
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Marshall-Rutty replaces D. Nealis
  11. 52'
    Yellow Card
    Z. Monlouis (Toronto FC) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. Forsberg replaces A. Mehmeti
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces C. Cowell
  14. 28'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: J. Gilman replaces K. Franklin
  15. 3'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by J. Che (o.g.)
    1-0

Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto 22¢, NY Red Bulls -141, draw 21¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (72¢/+250)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 24.8%
  • NY Red Bulls: 54.1%
  • Draw: 21.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 1-2 NY Red Bulls (9.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.1%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 1-2 NY Red Bulls.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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