Orlando vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Orlando vs. Toronto MLS match on October 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Orlando
3
:
3
BMO Field
Toronto
BMO Field
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
L. Morgan (26')
Soccer ball icon
T. Corbeanu (49')
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Matheus Pereira (89')
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M. Ojeda (pen.) (45')
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A. Griezmann (76')
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D. Dike (83')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Toronto
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Orlando
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: Z. Taifi replaces E. Atuesta
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Laryea (Toronto FC) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by Matheus Pereira
    3-3
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: E. Aristizabal replaces A. Coello
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: B. Ojeda replaces W. Cartagena
  6. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by D. Dike, assisted by I. Angulo
    3-2
  7. 82'
    Yellow Card
    Vinicius Nogueira (Orlando City) cautioned
  8. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces D. Salloi
  9. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by A. Griezmann, assisted by Iago Teodoro
    2-2
  10. 75'
    Yellow Card
    B. Kuscevic (Toronto FC) cautioned
  11. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: D. Dike replaces H. Sarajian
  12. 66'
    Yellow Card
    A. Coello (Toronto FC) cautioned
  13. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Mihailovic replaces L. Morgan
  14. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by T. Corbeanu, assisted by D. Salloi
    1-2
  15. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda (pen.)
    1-1
  16. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by L. Morgan, assisted by T. Corbeanu
    0-1

Orlando vs. Toronto: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. Toronto
  • Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando 33¢, Toronto 43¢, draw 25¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-250/27¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Orlando: 34.4%
  • Toronto: 44.0%
  • Draw: 21.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Orlando 1-1 Toronto (8.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Orlando vs. Toronto? Prediction & correct score

Toronto is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.0%.

The most likely correct score is Orlando 1-1 Toronto.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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