D.C. United vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the D.C. United vs. Cincinnati MLS match on October 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
D.C. United
1
2
TQL Stadium
Cincinnati
TQL Stadium
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
D. Doudera (14')
Soccer ball icon
T. Hadebe (55')
Soccer ball icon
K. Nono (38')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cincinnati
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • D.C. United
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: S. Nealis replaces K. Rowles
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Mboma replaces Evander
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Jabbari (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  4. 88'
    Yellow Card
    T. Baribo (DC United) cautioned
  5. 87'
    Yellow Card
    N. Hagglund (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces T. Barlow
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Gidi replaces K. Denkey
  8. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: M. Peltola replaces B. Servania
  9. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: O. Avilez replaces S. Hefti
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces D. Doudera
  11. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: N. Ordaz replaces J. Hopkins
  12. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by T. Hadebe, assisted by Evander
    1-2
  13. 54'
    Yellow Card
    K. Nono (DC United) cautioned
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: B. J. Ramirez Leon replaces T. Malacia
  15. 38'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by K. Nono, assisted by Peglow
    1-1
  16. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by D. Doudera
    0-1

D.C. United vs. Cincinnati: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: D.C. United +410, Cincinnati -150, draw 19¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (76¢/26¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • D.C. United: 18.8%
  • Cincinnati: 63.6%
  • Draw: 17.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: D.C. United 1-2 Cincinnati (8.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win D.C. United vs. Cincinnati? Prediction & correct score

Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.6%.

The most likely correct score is D.C. United 1-2 Cincinnati.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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