Toronto vs. Atlanta Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. Atlanta MLS match on November 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Toronto
1
3
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
AtlantaATL
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
M. Almiron (22')
Soccer ball icon
C. Sanchez (40')
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A. Miranchuk (51')
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L. Morgan (79')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atlanta
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Toronto
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Coello (Toronto FC) cautioned
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: E. Aristizabal replaces T. Corbeanu
  3. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: L. Brennan replaces B. Embolo
  4. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: T. Muyumba replaces C. Sanchez
  5. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by L. Morgan, assisted by J. Sargent
    1-3
  6. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: A. Gill replaces M. Amaro
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: A. Fortune replaces M. Almiron
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: R. Chukwu replaces N. Gomis
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces Matheus Pereira
  10. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Coello replaces N. Dorsch
  11. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Morgan replaces D. Salloi
  12. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by A. Miranchuk
    0-3
  13. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by C. Sanchez, assisted by M. Almiron
    0-2
  14. 33'
    Yellow Card
    D. Salloi (Toronto FC) cautioned
  15. 22'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by M. Almiron, assisted by A. Miranchuk
    0-1

Toronto vs. Atlanta: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. Atlanta
  • Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto 29¢, Atlanta +110, draw 23¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (69¢/32¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 30.2%
  • Atlanta: 47.3%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 1-1 Atlanta (9.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Toronto vs. Atlanta? Prediction & correct score

Atlanta is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.3%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 1-1 Atlanta.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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