Nov 13, 2026
NBA player props today: Friday's best props include Giannis Antetokounmpo [11/13/2026]
Read Article Cavaliers vs. Heat NBA Cup prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 13, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Miami Heat are favored to beat the Cleveland Cavaliers at Kaseya Center on Friday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Cavaliers vs. Heat prediction gives Miami a 58.4% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 235.5 points.
This game is part of Group Play in the 2026 NBA Cup, with the New York Knicks entering as defending champions and the final set for Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis on Dec. 11.
Cavaliers vs. Heat key predictions
- Predicted score: Heat 118-115 Cavaliers
- Heat win probability: 58.4%
- Cavaliers win probability: 41.6%
- Heat -2.5 spread: 51.2% cover probability
- Under 235.5 points: 53.4% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Cavaliers vs. Heat odds
Below are the best available prices across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track. Novig has the best price in every market for this game.
- Cavaliers moneyline: 44¢ (Novig)
- Heat moneyline: 57¢ (Novig)
- Cavaliers +2.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Heat -2.5: 51¢ (Novig)
- Over 235.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
- Under 235.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Cavaliers vs. Heat pick: Under 235.5 (51¢)
Our model makes the Heat the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 235.5 total points at 51¢ on Novig.
Those odds give the under an implied probability of 51.0%, while our model puts it at 53.4%.
That's a 2.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Cavaliers vs. Heat player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Heat star Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 32.1 points, plus 11.8 rebounds and 6.9 assists. The Cavaliers have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Heat's two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (Heat): 32.1 points
- Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers): 25.9
- Bam Adebayo (Heat): 19.8
- James Harden (Cavaliers): 18.7
- Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers): 14.9
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Cavaliers vs. Heat prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Cavaliers vs. Heat game details
- Matchup: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat
- Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
- Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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