Knicks vs. Pacers NBA Cup prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 13, 2026

The New York Knicks are favored to beat the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.

Our Knicks vs. Pacers prediction gives New York a 71.8% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Pacers to cover at +7.5.

This game is part of Group Play in the 2026 NBA Cup, with the New York Knicks entering as defending champions and the final set for Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis on Dec. 11.

Knicks vs. Pacers key predictions

• Predicted score: Knicks 113-107 Pacers
• Knicks win probability: 71.8%
• Pacers win probability: 28.2%
• Pacers +7.5 spread: 53.4% cover probability
• Over 219.5 points: 51.2% probability

Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.

Knicks vs. Pacers odds

Below are the best available prices across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Knicks moneyline: -295 (BetRivers)
• Pacers moneyline: 27¢ (Novig)
• Knicks -7.5: 51¢ (Novig)
• Pacers +7.5: 49¢ (Novig)
• Over 219.5 points: 49¢ (Polymarket)
• Under 219.5 points: -108 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Knicks vs. Pacers pick: Pacers +7.5 (49¢)

Our model makes the Knicks the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Pacers to cover the +7.5 spread at 49¢ on Novig.

Those odds give Pacers an implied cover probability of 49.0%, while our model puts it at 53.4%.

That's a 4.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

Knicks vs. Pacers player projections

Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Knicks star Jalen Brunson leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 25.1 points, plus 6.6 assists and 3.2 rebounds. The Knicks have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Pacers' two.

Top 5 projected scorers

1. Jalen Brunson (Knicks): 25.1 points
2. Karl-Anthony Towns (Knicks): 21.4
3. Pascal Siakam (Pacers): 21.1
4. OG Anunoby (Knicks): 18.2
5. Andrew Nembhard (Pacers): 15.6

Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Knicks vs. Pacers game details

• Matchup: New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers
• Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup

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About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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